Magic
Of Compound Interest
By
Teddy Hanson
The
Rule Of 72
Have you always wanted to be able to do compound interest problems
in your head? Well, let's be honest - probably not.
However,
it's a very useful skill to have because it gives you a lightning
fast benchmark to determine how good (or not so good) a potential
mortgage note (or any investment) is likely to be. And it's surprisingly
easy to do in your head... once you know how.
The
rule says, that to find the number of years required to double your
money at a given interest rate, you simply divide the interest rate
into 72. That's why it's called the "Rule of 72"!
For
example, if you want to know how long it will take to double your
money at 8% interest, you would simply divide 8 into 72 and you'll
get 9 years. This is assuming the interest is compounded annually.
As
you can see, the "rule" is remarkably accurate, as long as the interest
rate is less than about 20%. At higher interest rates the error
starts to become significant.
Of
course, you can also run it backwards. For example if you want to
double your money in 6 years, just divide 6 into 72 to find that
it will require an interest rate of about 12%.
Quite
easy! You don't need to be a "math-whiz" to do it. Now, let's continue
this fascination subject with some fun exercises.
Famous
Compounding History
The history of compounding computation goes back thousands of years,
at least to the Babylonians.
However,
the most famous compounding exercise of the all has to be the sale
of the Island of Manhattan in NY in 1626.
It
was May 24, 1626 when Peter Minuit, a director of the Dutch West
India Trading Company, bartered sixty guilders (about $24) worth
of beads and trinkets to local Lenape Indians in exchange for the
island of Manhattan. There is some doubt that actual beads were
involved in the transaction, but that's another story.
It's too bad, but no deed or official document of the island's sale
to the Dutch from the Lenape Indians exists today.
Now,
an interesting investment question arises...
Was this a good deal for Minuit or not?
Let's
look at the deal. What would be the value of $24 if Minuit had invested
it instead at 8% interest, compounded annually for 374 years? (1626-2000)?
At
first sight, this seems like the deal of the century. Given today's
real estate values in New York, this appears to be a great deal
for Minuit. But not so fast... remember, you always have to do
the numbers!
Also,
keep in mind that Minuit bought undeveloped land... not buildable
lots with sewer, water, streets etc.
Now,
if you run the numbers, you'll discover that the original $24 would
have grown to a staggering...
$76 Trillion!
Yes,
you read it right, not million, not billion, but trillion.
This
is actually more that the estimated value in today's dollars of
all the real estate on this 31 square mile island.
So
which would have been the better investment?
The
Magic of Compound Interest
Let's continue for some more fun. Imagine that back in 1930 your
grandparents scrimped and saved and placed $100 in a trust fund
where the money would accumulate for their grandchild (you).
And
imagine that the $100 remained in this fund for some 70 years, until
the year 2000, earning the average rate of 12%. How much money would
you think you would have today from that initial $100 investment?
The
answer, incredible as it may sound, is...
$278,780!
Remember,
we're only talking about a single $100 investment,
not $100 added per month or per year!
Of
course it might have been hard to get 12% year-after-year, some
years would have been a lot less. But then again, remember the early
1980's, when it was not uncommon to get 15-18% interest on your
money.
Just
imagine if your grandparents and your parents had also added just
small amounts of money every year to your fund, how much money you
would now have!
If
you're interested in playing around with compound interest, there's
a nifty compound interest calculator at:
http://www.1728.com/compint.htm
Here's
How Compounding Works
Compound
interest pays interest not only on the principal,
but on the interest as well, increasing the rate at which your money
grows.
For
example if the interest was compounded yearly and you started with
a $100 investment at a 10% interest rate, you'd have earned $10
interest the first year, and would now have $110 at the end of the
first year.
In
the second year, you would earn interest on $110, giving you $11
in interest in the second year, so at the end of the second year
you would now have $121, and so on. So after 20 years you'd end
up with $672.75!
Add
Payments for Even Greater Growth
Now,
if you'd added additional money to your savings every year your
money would of course grow even faster.
For
example, if you save $2,000 a year at 10% interest, you'll have
more than $35,000 after 10 years.
Not
bad, but… if you keep at it another 10 years, (double the initial
period) you'll have far more than $70,000, (double the $35,000).
In
fact you'll have $126,000!
Go
for another 10 years and you'll accumulate about $362,000. Another
10 - that would be 40 years or a typical "working'' lifetime
- and you'll be... are you ready for this...
Almost
a Millionaire - with $973,703.62!
Generally,
any series of regular or steady payments is called an annuity .
You
can play around with annuities at:
http://www.1728.com/annuity.htm
Now,
you might wonder what does all this have to do with mortgage notes?
Well,
you have to wait until next time, when I'll show you how you can
actually lower the interest rate on a note or a loan
and still come out ahead...
Way
Ahead!
Remember...
"You
Don't Have To Get It Perfect...
You Just Have To Get It going!"